As Congress rushes through the last four months of the 1st Session, ending on New Year’s Eve, the anticipation of final legislation, policy, and funding decisions can be an overly complicated process that begs the return to “regular order.” Although this may not seem like a short timetable, it is important to remember that holidays and “district work” periods leave few legislative days that can be used for influence. Since January, and the start of the new Administration and the 117th Congress, the focus has often been multi-trillion-dollar funding bills and a “Christmas Tree” of legislation. This is made more complicated by the hundreds of amendments that have been proposed to these bills, as well as a new process for “markups” in creating bills through Committees. Take for example, S.1260, the Endless Frontier Act, that started out as a change to the structure of the National Science Foundation (NSF) and ended up including major authorization language covering NASA and many provisions relating to China. This bill is well over 2,376 pages long and contains hundreds of billions of dollars. Another major bill, HR 3684, the infrastructure legislation, is pending final review in the US House. HR 3684 has grown to over 1,538 pages, with hundreds of amendments still to be finalized before the Senate takes it up in the Fall. The key is preparing for what will be in these bills and knowing how to influence their outcomes.
Some of the influences that are not typically part of the tactical decisions for outcomes have proven, in this political environment in Congress, to be a unique group for consideration:
• In the House, the three-vote majority for the Democrats (220-211, with 218 being the majority) has provided more focus on the House Rules Committee and the leadership decisions in Committee passage of bills directing final amendments and composition of bills.
• In the Senate, the 50-50 composition has devolved many decisions with Senate leadership, especially on approving amendments offered on the Senate floor.
• Earmarks, or more appropriately called “Community Projects”, have been approved by Democratic leadership with extensive guidelines in both the House and Senate Appropriations Committee. These Earmarks are not exclusive to the Appropriations process. For example, the infrastructure bill previously mentioned has over $6 billion of “Community Projects” submitted by members. The House Appropriations Committee during the deadline for Member submission of these earmarks has over 5,880 requests for all funding bills.
• Markup Sessions (creating the bills in Committee) during the start of the 117th Congress have been more partisan than usual with little bi-partisan legislation being finalized. In many bills appearing in Committee or on the floors, the votes reflect this division, as does the debate.
During the last four months of this Session, the following are examples of key final legislative decisions that need to be addressed and will impact outcomes, not just for 2022, but beyond:
• The National Defense Authorization Act, as well as the DoD Appropriations bill, will begin to be created in this “end game “cycle. Final Program Element (PE) funding of thousands of projects and final allocations of $704 billion or more for the military, will be open for Subcommittee, Committee, and final floor amendment considerations this Fall.
• The entire FY22 Appropriations bills for all agencies and their key accompanying reports will be finalized. It is anticipated that these decisions may move into the 2022 calendar year requiring major decisions on levels of funding, program continuations, and much more for each agency.
• Large bills providing for huge spending outcomes and policy decisions in areas such as the American Families Act, the Infrastructure bill, Education, and many others, need to be finalized or decisions pushed into 2022. Some of these programs, for example the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), expire September 30, 2021, and will need to be dealt with or extended.
The last 122 days of this Session have extremely limited legislative days for influencing Members and key professional staff. The lack of time coupled with holidays, “district work Periods” where Members are back in their localities, and the focus on fundraising and other events, all contribute to a short timetable. Some key choices for influence in this period include:
• Increased use of texts and emails to key staff, as they “permit” access to cell phones and email responses for presentations. Use of Zoom and internet meetings can also be a positive outreach choice, including, if appropriate, office visits.
• As many of the Markup Sessions are virtual, the key choice for influence remains the top professional Subcommittee and Committee leadership and staff. Majority Staff Directors and subject experts within Committees remain key deciders in a fast-paced environment.
• Knowing the content of amendments, the text of bills or reports, what specific amendments propose, and having access to fast breaking floor actions remain a major information gathering priority for successful outcomes.
I remember one instance in which a markup was going on during the evening hours and a staff director called me while at dinner with a client. They had a change to an amendment which was especially important to the policy direction we needed. The staff director asked for my view and changes to the language which were given and included in the final evening’s activity. Knowing the right information, at the right time, to make the right decision, is critical.
The restarting of “Earmarks” or as described, “Community Projects” will, in the FY22 cycle and more importantly for the next FY23 cycle, be a major consideration for some project funding objectives. The guidelines prepared by the House and Senate Appropriations Committee are extensive and require local input for support. It would be prudent for influencers to include in their tactics for next Session a review of all 5,880+ submissions of the House and prepare this Fall for FY23 deadlines, which most likely will be around March of 2022.
Another word about FY23. Agency completion of budget requests for this next cycle will be due in the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) around Thanksgiving. There is a process for “pass backs” which are give and take negotiations between OMB, the White House, and agency leadership on funding requests. The Budget is finalized at the end of the year and these budgets are included in the President’s submissions to Congress for next year.
To summarize, for FY22, considerations in the “end game” should be given to:
• Monitor Conference Committee deliberations between House and Senate funding bills and final Omnibus Conference.
• Seek other legislative vehicles that relate to the issues at hand, and with support from leadership (Chairman and Ranking Members) it is possible to include in a “Chairman’s Substitute”, but timing is key.
• Review with appropriate agencies and “implementers” of the policy and funding for possible options.
For FY23, considerations in the “end game” should be given to:
• Meet, present, and seek to include policy and funding requests via Agency inclusion for FY23 programmatic final budget.
• Present issues at OMB, as well as White House levels, to impact final budget decisions.
• Interact with Congressional leadership for influence with Executive Branch final allocations and policy.
There are many opportunities to influence Congress, to gain agency support, and voice concerns on programs and policy during this period. These last 122 days go by very fast on Capitol Hill. There are many decisions to be made. Are you prepared?